It's not just old wives telling tales. Sometimes financial experts do it too.
It’s been said that if the palm of your right hand itches, you’ll soon be coming into money. On the other hand (pun intended), it’s also been said that if your left palm itches you’ll soon be paying out money.
Don’t laugh. There are folks out there who actually believe that.
What is funny, though, is if you do an Internet search, you’ll find no consensus at all regarding which palm is which. Some sites proclaim it’s actually vice versa.
Of course, I’d expect such confusion emanating from what’s nothing more than an old wives’ tale. A surprisingly large number of other “financial rules of thumb” are actually nothing more than gussied-up old wives’ tales too…
1. Red cars are more expensive to insure.
You may also believe: If three people are photographed together, the one in the middle will die first.
Reality check: How much you pay for your insurance has absolutely nothing to do with the color of your car. It depends on the car you drive, your age, and your driving record.
2. Buying a home is always better than renting.
You may also believe: It’s bad luck to leave shoes upside down.
Reality check: During the last real estate run-up, this mantra was repeated ad nauseum. The truth is, sometimes paying rent may make a lot of sense. In exchange for that rent, you get a place to live without the commitment and costs that come with owning a home. For a lot of people, the added responsibility is more hassle than it’s worth.
3. Avoid adjustable-rate mortgages like the plague.
You may also believe: If you swallow a watermelon seed, a watermelon will grow in your stomach.
Reality check: If you’re absolutely positive you’ll only live in your house for a short time, an adjustable-rate mortgage (ARM) may save you money – even when rates are rising. This is especially true for hybrid ARMs, where the loan’s interest rate may remain fixed for, say, three or five years before readjusting.
4. When planning for retirement, assume annual stock market returns of 8 percent.
You may also believe: A cow lifting its tail is a sure sign that rain is coming. (Well, it’s a sure sign something’s coming.)
Reality check: Between 1981 and 1998, when the stock market was averaging annual returns of almost 13 percent, this figure seemed conservative. Since then, the stock market has seen the bursting of the dot-com bubble, followed by a second crash in 2008, and the drop we’re even now enduring. According to some experts, the stock market may return as little as 4.5 percent annually going forward.
5. To determine the percentage of stocks you should have in your portfolio, subtract your age from 100.
You may also believe: Placing a bed facing north-south brings misfortune.
Reality check: According to CNN Money, because of longer life expectancies, this number may not be aggressive enough. Instead they recommend subtracting your age from 110, or even 120.
6. Never buy a house that costs more than three times your annual income.
You may also believe: Any ship that sails on Friday will have bad luck.
Reality check: When I bought my last house in 1997, I paid roughly four times my annual income. It was tough for a while, but not impossible by any stretch. A broader, but much better, benchmark to follow is to make sure the ratio of all of your monthly debt payments to your gross monthly income does not exceed 36 percent.
7. You should close any credit accounts you no longer use.
You may also believe: Dreaming of a lizard is a sure sign that you have a secret enemy.
Reality check: Credit card companies see long-held accounts – especially those lacking negative reports – as proof of credit responsibility. Because a portion of your credit score is determined by your borrowing history, as well as the ratio between the balances on those cards and your total available credit, it’s often wiser to keep your unused credit accounts open.
8. When planning for retirement, anticipate replacing 80 percent of your pre-retirement income.
You may also believe: The spouse who falls asleep first on their wedding day will also be the first to die.
Reality check: The problem with this rule of thumb is that it assumes expenses will stay the same in retirement, when for most people, nothing could be further from the truth. For example, kids move away, and people may pay off their mortgage and/or downsize to a smaller home. For many reasons many retirees will spend far less than they did in their working years.
9. To quickly figure a server’s tip, double the first digit of the bill’s total. If the bill is $100 or more, double the first two digits.
You may also believe: If you say goodbye to a friend on a bridge, you’ll never see each other again.
Reality check: The standard tip for good restaurant service has been 15 percent for decades. Well, that’s until tip inflation once again reared its ugly head. If you’re not careful, following this rule could result in an overly generous tip.
10. Your minimum net worth at any given age should be your age multiplied by your pre-tax annual income, with the result divided by 10.
You may also believe: Salty soup is a sign that the cook is in love.
Reality check: Never mind that this formula has many flaws. Net worth is just a snapshot in time that serves very little purpose, unless you plan on liquidating all your assets. In fact, in the grand scheme of things, the annual change in one’s net worth is a much more important indicator of financial health. Yes, folks, even more important than an itchy palm.